Jozef Kovalik vs Nicolas Jarry
Wimbledon | Grass | Qualification Round 2
25 Jun 2025, 17:10
25 Jun 2025, 17:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jozef … | Nicolas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jozef Kovalik
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#433
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Grass
1/2 = 50,0%
Nicolas Jarry
Ranking
#133
UTR Rating
14,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#111
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Grass
8/11 = 72,7%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Jozef Kovalik
Record 2025
13W - 25L (34%)
Racha
5L
UTR Oponentes
14,2
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Nicolas Jarry
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -367,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2660 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3243 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -451,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -484,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15,9091 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,0670 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 35,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,9091 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,8326 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -23,4688 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -9,9700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,6600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,2500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -13,3300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -9,3409 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21,2470 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2976 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,0008 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,7187 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 21,0678 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2170 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3579 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7988 | |
| utr_advantage | -6,2043 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
6104
API ID
14043329
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6104,
"api_id": 14043329,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jozef Kovalik",
"player2": "Nicolas Jarry",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2025-06-25T13:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.9,
"utr_ranking": 433,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 13,
"utr_v4_losses": 25,
"utr_v4_wr": 34.21052631578947,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 5,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 14.21,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 15.28,
"opponent_name": "Dino Prizmic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.83,
"opponent_name": "Enrico Dalla valle"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.21,
"opponent_name": "Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.77,
"opponent_name": "Alberto Barroso Campos"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.64,
"opponent_name": "Sebastian Sorger"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:58.637224+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 133,
"utr_singles": 14.79,
"utr_ranking": 111,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.72727272727273,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.9,
"ranking": 433,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.79,
"ranking": 111,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -367,
"rank_ratio": 0.266,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.324258970200438,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -451,
"best_rank_diff": -484,
"surface_wr_diff": -15.909090909090914,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.066965218689359,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.25,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 35.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.909090909090914,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.8325869532766,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"combined_confidence": 0.4,
"serve_quality_diff": -23.468818181818186,
"first_serve_won_diff": -9.969999999999999,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.6599999999999966,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.25,
"bp_converted_diff": -13.33,
"aces_per_match_diff": -9.34090909090909,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.247,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2975609756097561,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.000796613679892,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.718678214044884,
"surface_rank_synergy": 21.067756344097884,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.21699999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.35790909090909084,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.8899999999999988,
"utr_p1": 0.6941176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.7988235294117646,
"utr_advantage": -6.2042523527361375,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}