August Holmgren vs Yosuke Watanuki
Wimbledon | Grass | Qualification Final
26 Jun 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente August … Yosuke … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
August Holmgren
Ranking #193
UTR Rating 14,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #208
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Grass 5/7 = 71,4%
Yosuke Watanuki
Ranking #162
UTR Rating 14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking #195
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Grass 2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -31,0000
rank_ratio 0,8394
log_rank_ratio -0,1751
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -59,0000
best_rank_diff -72,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 31,4286
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,2739
surface_matches_ratio 1,4000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,4286
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 59,5266
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,2794
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,3800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,4814
first_serve_won_diff 2,2000
second_serve_won_diff -1,3000
bp_saved_diff 1,9000
bp_converted_diff -15,1000
aces_per_match_diff 3,8857
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,7500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 10,7956
serve_consistency_p2 6,0978
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -5,5029
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2453
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1310
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0500
utr_p1 0,7494
utr_p2 0,7553
utr_advantage -0,3473
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 6115
API ID 14051397
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Wimbledon
Superficie Grass
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 6115,
    "api_id": 14051397,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "August Holmgren",
    "player2": "Yosuke Watanuki",
    "tournament": "Wimbledon",
    "surface": "grass",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2025-06-26T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 193,
      "utr_singles": 14.37,
      "utr_ranking": 208,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 162,
      "utr_singles": 14.42,
      "utr_ranking": 195,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.37,
      "ranking": 208,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.42,
      "ranking": 195,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -31,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8393782383419689,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1750938536725015,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": -59,
    "best_rank_diff": -72,
    "surface_wr_diff": 31.42857142857143,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.2739476528199924,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.42857142857143,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.52659574468085,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.27936507936508,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.42857142857142855,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.481428571428566,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.200000000000003,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.3000000000000043,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.8999999999999915,
    "bp_converted_diff": -15.100000000000001,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.8857142857142843,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.75,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.795558363097346,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.097830478127248,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -5.502949686850047,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.24528571428571433,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.131,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.05000000000000071,
    "utr_p1": 0.7494117647058822,
    "utr_p2": 0.7552941176470588,
    "utr_advantage": -0.3473428273706197,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}