Alex Michelsen vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Mallorca | Grass | Quarterfinals
26 Jun 2025, 16:00
26 Jun 2025, 16:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Roberto … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Grass
12/22 = 54.5%
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking
#92
UTR Rating
15.63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#46
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
12/20 = 60.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 54.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.4211 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.8842 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 655.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -21.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2.9371 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.1410 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55.0427 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57.9798 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53.8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.3184 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.3200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.0100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1.6900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 13.2700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.8407 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10.1700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0106 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9784 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3.0908 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.2462 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2.5970 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0036 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1338 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -2.9371 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8976 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.8553 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
6161
API ID
14023195
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Mallorca
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6161,
"api_id": 14023195,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
"tournament": "Mallorca",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-06-26T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.19,
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"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.63,
"utr_ranking": 46,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -21,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.93706293706294,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.7,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.3184296814296843,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.319999999999993,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.010000000000005,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.6899999999999977,
"bp_converted_diff": 13.27,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.840714840714841,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.170000000000002,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0106382978723405,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9784172661870504,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.0908289068049255,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.246203803362613,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.596958148779827,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0035726495726496887,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1337979797979798,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -2.93706293706294,
"utr_diff": -0.4400000000000013,
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"utr_advantage": -2.8552887735236943,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}