Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg | Grass | Quarterfinals
26 Jun 2025, 15:15
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … Emma … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Grass 10/15 = 66.7%
Emma Navarro
Ranking #15
UTR Rating 12.37 Pro
UTR Ranking #31
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Grass 13/19 = 68.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 9.0000
rank_ratio 2.5000
log_rank_ratio 0.9163
rank_tier_advantage 1.0000
points_diff 3068.0000
best_rank_diff 5.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1.1670
surface_matches_ratio 0.7895
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2.0000
surface_wr_p1 66.6667
surface_wr_p2 67.6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 63.1579
surface_wr_p2_stable 65.2174
p1_surface_matches 15.0000
p2_surface_matches 19.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.5000
p2_confidence 0.6333
combined_confidence 0.5667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11.1971
first_serve_won_diff 7.7900
second_serve_won_diff 1.5700
bp_saved_diff 4.7000
bp_converted_diff -13.5100
aces_per_match_diff 3.4156
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.2000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 50.0000
momentum_p2 80.0000
momentum_diff -30.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -21.6500
current_streak_diff -1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 4.0000
match_load_diff -2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.6769
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.8295
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5455
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 12.4514
serve_consistency_p2 8.5663
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0.9163
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1577
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1857
elite_surface_amplifier -1.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.4100
utr_p1 0.5624
utr_p2 0.5141
utr_advantage 3.2604
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 6162
API ID 14023670
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Bad Homburg
Superficie Grass
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 6162,
    "api_id": 14023670,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jessica Pegula",
    "player2": "Emma Navarro",
    "tournament": "Bad Homburg",
    "surface": "grass",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-06-26T15:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 12.78,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 15,
      "utr_singles": 12.37,
      "utr_ranking": 31,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 31,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
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  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 2.5,
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    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "points_diff": 3068,
    "best_rank_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.167048054919911,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7894736842105263,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 67.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.21739130434783,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 19,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "serve_quality_diff": 11.197111111111113,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.789999999999999,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.5699999999999932,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.700000000000003,
    "bp_converted_diff": -13.510000000000005,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.4155555555555552,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "momentum_diff": -30.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -21.649999999999977,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.676923076923077,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8294573643410853,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.451361075111679,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.56631875132878,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.9162907318741551,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1576666666666665,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18566666666666654,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -1.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.41000000000000014,
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    "utr_p2": 0.5141176470588235,
    "utr_advantage": 3.2604373757455285,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
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}