Veronika Erjavec vs Emily Appleton
Wimbledon | Grass | Qualification Final
26 Jun 2025, 14:25
26 Jun 2025, 14:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Veronika … | Emily … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Veronika Erjavec
Ranking
#105
UTR Rating
11.96 Pro
UTR Ranking
#123
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
4/6 = 66.7%
Emily Appleton
Ranking
#377
UTR Rating
10.88 Pro
UTR Ranking
#547
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Grass
4/8 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 272.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3.5905 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.2783 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 592.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 249.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2.6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4.0017 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56.5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46.3818 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 8.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.4067 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -18.6877 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8.9200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8.2700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4.9800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7.3500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5.8733 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2.1800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12.7261 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.7374 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3.4088 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2120 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.3587 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -2.6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4659 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.3388 | |
| utr_advantage | 9.4571 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
6179
API ID
14051895
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6179,
"api_id": 14051895,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Veronika Erjavec",
"player2": "Emily Appleton",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-06-26T14:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 105,
"utr_singles": 11.96,
"utr_ranking": 123,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 377,
"utr_singles": 10.88,
"utr_ranking": 547,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 123,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 547,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 3.5904761904761906,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.2782848372904874,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 592,
"best_rank_diff": 249,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.666666666666657,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.001670033670034,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.75,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.38181818181818,
"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 8,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -18.687666666666665,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.920000000000009,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.269999999999996,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.980000000000011,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.3500000000000085,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.873333333333334,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.180000000000021,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.75,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.726061619684351,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.737399960707825,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.408759566107954,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21199999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3586666666666666,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -2.666666666666657,
"utr_diff": 1.08,
"utr_p1": 0.4658823529411766,
"utr_p2": 0.3388235294117648,
"utr_advantage": 9.45709281961471,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}