Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon | Grass | Round of 128
30 Jun 2025, 10:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sonay … Jelena … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sonay Kartal
Ranking #69
UTR Rating 12.27 Pro
UTR Ranking #47
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Grass 10/15 = 66.7%
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking #23
UTR Rating 12.10 Pro
UTR Ranking #78
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Grass 6/11 = 54.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -46.0000
rank_ratio 0.3333
log_rank_ratio -1.0986
rank_tier_advantage -1.0000
points_diff -863.0000
best_rank_diff -39.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 20.4167
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4.6503
surface_matches_ratio 1.3636
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 62.5000
surface_wr_p2 42.0833
surface_wr_p1_stable 63.1579
surface_wr_p2_stable 53.3333
p1_surface_matches 15.0000
p2_surface_matches 11.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.5000
p2_confidence 0.4467
combined_confidence 0.4733
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4.3650
first_serve_won_diff -1.9200
second_serve_won_diff -2.6000
bp_saved_diff 5.4600
bp_converted_diff 1.2800
aces_per_match_diff -1.3125
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 22.0000
momentum_p2 38.0000
momentum_diff -16.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -16.4800
current_streak_diff -1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4.0000
match_load_p1 3.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.9236
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.0786
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6667
serve_consistency_p1 10.0290
serve_consistency_p2 4.6874
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -22.4300
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1710
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.1252
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.1700
utr_p1 0.5024
utr_p2 0.4824
utr_advantage 1.3952
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 6209
API ID 14060435
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Wimbledon
Superficie Grass
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 6209,
    "api_id": 14060435,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Sonay Kartal",
    "player2": "Jelena Ostapenko",
    "tournament": "Wimbledon",
    "surface": "grass",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2025-06-30T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 69,
      "utr_singles": 12.27,
      "utr_ranking": 47,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 23,
      "utr_singles": 12.1,
      "utr_ranking": 78,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.27,
      "ranking": 47,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.1,
      "ranking": 78,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -46,
    "rank_ratio": 0.3333333333333333,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0986122886681098,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -863,
    "best_rank_diff": -39,
    "surface_wr_diff": 20.416666666666664,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.650292397660817,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3636363636363635,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.49999999999999,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.08333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "combined_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.365000000000009,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.920000000000016,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.6000000000000014,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.460000000000008,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.2800000000000011,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3124999999999991,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "momentum_diff": -16.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -16.480000000000004,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9236111111111112,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0785714285714285,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.028977349214689,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.687375822999359,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -22.43000089364057,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17099999999999993,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12516666666666676,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.16999999999999993,
    "utr_p1": 0.5023529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.48235294117647054,
    "utr_advantage": 1.3951579811243329,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}