Fabio Fognini vs Carlos Alcaraz
Wimbledon | Grass | Round of 128
30 Jun 2025, 12:30
30 Jun 2025, 12:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Fabio … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fabio Fognini
Ranking
#-
UTR Ranking
#158 General
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Grass
3/9 = 33.3%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Grass
19/21 = 90.5%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Fabio Fognini
Record 2025
4W - 15L (21%)
Racha
7L
UTR Oponentes
14.9
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Carlos Alcaraz
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -499.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.0020 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -4.6052 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -5.0000 | |
| points_diff | -12050.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -499.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -72.8333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -26.0303 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.4286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 18.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 90.8333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37.5173 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 84.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.5600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -16.1247 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6.7600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.4600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.7500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -14.9900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6.1533 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -1.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -1.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -100.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -69.2550 | |
| current_streak_diff | -10.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.2841 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.7439 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.8172 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 335.4099 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1790 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0907 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -3.2180 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.6120 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9906 | |
| utr_advantage | -21.7270 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
6215
API ID
14061772
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6215,
"api_id": 14061772,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Fabio Fognini",
"player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-06-30T12:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": 158,
"utr_division": "General",
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"utr_v4_wins": 4,
"utr_v4_losses": 15,
"utr_v4_wr": 21.052631578947366,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 7,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 14.89,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 16.42,
"opponent_name": "Carlos Alcaraz"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 15.62,
"opponent_name": "Daniel Altmaier"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.74,
"opponent_name": "Arthur Fery"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 15.8,
"opponent_name": "Corentin MOUTET"
},
{
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"opponent_name": "Nicolas Moreno de Alboran"
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"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:19.158578+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 16.42,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 90.47619047619048,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
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"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 158,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
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"p2": {
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"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.002,
"log_rank_ratio": -4.605170185988091,
"rank_tier_advantage": -5,
"points_diff": -12050,
"best_rank_diff": -499,
"surface_wr_diff": -72.83333333333331,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -26.030286576168926,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.42857142857142855,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 18.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 90.83333333333331,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.51734539969834,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 84.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"combined_confidence": 0.5599999999999999,
"serve_quality_diff": -16.124666666666677,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.760000000000005,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.4600000000000009,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.75,
"bp_converted_diff": -14.989999999999995,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.153333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -1.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -99.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -69.255,
"current_streak_diff": -10,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.05,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.284116331096197,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.743943101813466,
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"surface_rank_synergy": 335.4098952127992,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.179,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0906666666666669,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -3.2179856304316345,
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"utr_advantage": -21.726987167608513,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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