Jasmine Paolini vs Anastasija Sevastova
Wimbledon | Grass | Round of 128
30 Jun 2025, 16:45
30 Jun 2025, 16:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jasmine … | Anastasija … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jasmine Paolini
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
12.59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
11/16 = 68.8%
Anastasija Sevastova
Ranking
#199
UTR Rating
11.91 Pro
UTR Ranking
#125
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (8p)
WR Grass
0/2 = 0.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 191.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 24.8750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3.2139 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4.0000 | |
| points_diff | 3958.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 7.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 59.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7.3673 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 8.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47.8667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3750 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.4300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3.9317 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7.7200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.5500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -16.4200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -26.4700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.4967 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 29.1160 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 21.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9046 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.2692 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.8571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.8268 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.6966 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 189.6179 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1010 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.3090 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 236.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.6800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4600 | |
| utr_advantage | 5.5510 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
6257
API ID
14060449
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jasmine Paolini",
"player2": "Anastasija Sevastova",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-06-30T16:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.59,
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"wr_surface": 68.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
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"utr_singles": 11.91,
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"wr_surface": 0.0,
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"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
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"best_rank_diff": 7,
"surface_wr_diff": 59.0,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.367333333333336,
"surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.86666666666666,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.375,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.43,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.931666666666665,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.719999999999999,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.54999999999999,
"bp_saved_diff": -16.42,
"bp_converted_diff": -26.47,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4966666666666668,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": 21.999999999999996,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 29.116000000000007,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 21,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9045643153526971,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.2692307692307692,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 9.826824077640113,
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"surface_rank_synergy": 189.61793369963473,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10100000000000009,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.30899999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 236.0,
"utr_diff": 0.6799999999999997,
"utr_p1": 0.54,
"utr_p2": 0.46,
"utr_advantage": 5.5510204081632635,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}