Jasmine Paolini vs Anastasija Sevastova
Wimbledon | Grass | Round of 128
30 Jun 2025, 20:45
30 Jun 2025, 20:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jasmine … | Anastasija … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jasmine Paolini
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#17
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
3/6 = 50,0%
Anastasija Sevastova
Ranking
#186
UTR Rating
11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#226
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (8p)
WR Grass
0/2 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 178,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 23,2500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,1463 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3884,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 59,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,2579 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 8,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,1212 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3750 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,9317 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,7200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,5500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -16,4200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -26,4700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4967 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 28,8400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 21,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9046 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,2692 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,8268 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,6966 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 185,6320 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0880 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3220 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 236,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4200 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,4437 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
6257
API ID
14060449
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6257,
"api_id": 14060449,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jasmine Paolini",
"player2": "Anastasija Sevastova",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-06-30T16:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.59,
"utr_ranking": 17,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 186,
"utr_singles": 11.57,
"utr_ranking": 226,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 17,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 226,
"division": "Pro",
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"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 23.25,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.1463051320333655,
"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"points_diff": 3884,
"best_rank_diff": 7,
"surface_wr_diff": 59.0,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.25787878787879,
"surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.12121212121212,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.375,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.43,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.931666666666665,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.719999999999999,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.54999999999999,
"bp_saved_diff": -16.42,
"bp_converted_diff": -26.47,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4966666666666668,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": 21.999999999999996,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 28.839999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 21,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9045643153526971,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.2692307692307692,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.826824077640113,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.696627073027941,
"surface_rank_synergy": 185.63200278996857,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08799999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.32200000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 236.0,
"utr_diff": 1.0199999999999996,
"utr_p1": 0.54,
"utr_p2": 0.42000000000000004,
"utr_advantage": 8.44370860927152,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}