Daria Kasatkina vs Emiliana Arango
Wimbledon | Grass | Round of 128
01 Jul 2025, 14:00
01 Jul 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daria … | Emiliana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Grass
2/5 = 40,0%
Emiliana Arango
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#124
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Grass
0/3 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 8,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1860 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1706 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 78,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 38,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 52,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,3242 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 30,6030 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,3760 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,8200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,6200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,9900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 19,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5600 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,3550 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7203 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4474 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,0072 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,1388 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,8725 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0120 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4920 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 52,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,3256 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
6266
API ID
14060429
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6266,
"api_id": 14060429,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daria Kasatkina",
"player2": "Emiliana Arango",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-07-01T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 43,
"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 58,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 51,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 124,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.18,
"ranking": 58,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.9,
"ranking": 124,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.186046511627907,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.17062551703076345,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 78,
"best_rank_diff": 38,
"surface_wr_diff": 52.0,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.324158069592587,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.5,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.1578947368421,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.60299003322259,
"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"combined_confidence": 0.44,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.3759999999999977,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.819999999999993,
"second_serve_won_diff": 8.619999999999997,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.990000000000002,
"bp_converted_diff": 19.299999999999997,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.56,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.3550000000000075,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7202797202797203,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4473684210526316,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.007182946041466,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.138848629455785,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.872526885599699,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.01200000000000001,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.492,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 52.0,
"utr_diff": 0.27999999999999936,
"utr_p1": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_advantage": 2.325581395348832,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}