Matteo Arnaldi vs Botic Van de Zandschulp
Wimbledon | Grass | Round of 128
01 Jul 2025, 16:35
01 Jul 2025, 16:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Botic … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#65
UTR Rating
15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
0/2 = 0,0%
Botic Van de Zandschulp
Ranking
#75
UTR Rating
15,20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Grass
1/3 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1538 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1431 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 99,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -8,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -23,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,8460 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,2153 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,4815 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,6000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3733 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,4977 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,7100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 9,0800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,8100 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,0300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,1833 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 47,9390 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 21,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8621 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7576 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,8354 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4178 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,3390 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4100 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1567 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8306 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8471 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9253 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
6276
API ID
14061808
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 6276,
"api_id": 14061808,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"player2": "Botic Van de Zandschulp",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-07-01T12:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.2,
"utr_ranking": 62,
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"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
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"utr": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -8,
"surface_wr_diff": -23.33333333333333,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8333333333333334,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
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"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.6,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"combined_confidence": 0.3733333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.4976666666666745,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.709999999999994,
"second_serve_won_diff": 9.079999999999991,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.809999999999988,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.030000000000001,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.1833333333333336,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"momentum_diff": 38.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 47.93900000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 21,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8620689655172413,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7575757575757576,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.8353651422610335,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.4177777820987485,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.3390196849490414,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41000000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.15666666666666673,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.1399999999999988,
"utr_p1": 0.8305882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.8470588235294116,
"utr_advantage": -0.9253139458030324,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
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}