Sara Bejlek vs Kathinka von Deichmann
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
07 Jan 2025, 08:00
07 Jan 2025, 08:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sara … | Kathinka … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sara Bejlek
Ranking
#92
UTR Rating
12.15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#67
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
12/21 = 57.1%
Kathinka von Deichmann
Ranking
#229
UTR Rating
11.27 Pro
UTR Ranking
#328
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
6/17 = 35.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 137.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.4891 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.9119 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 498.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 78.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 28.4615 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11.3397 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.2353 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 29.0385 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 38.0952 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.0711 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.7785 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.3508 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.4354 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 12.8454 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.6776 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 55.5556 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42.8571 | |
| momentum_diff | 12.6984 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9.5810 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 25.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.6280 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2.2222 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 25.9550 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0620 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0726 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 56.9231 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.8800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.3847 | |
| utr_advantage | 7.5149 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
628
API ID
13300808
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 628,
"api_id": 13300808,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sara Bejlek",
"player2": "Kathinka von Deichmann",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-01-07T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 92,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 67,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 229,
"utr_singles": 11.27,
"utr_ranking": 328,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 35.294117647058826,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 67,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 328,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 2.489130434782609,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9119334265051994,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 498,
"best_rank_diff": 78,
"surface_wr_diff": 28.46153846153846,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.339682539682544,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2352941176470589,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 29.03846153846154,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.00000000000001,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 38.095238095238095,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.0711282051282112,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.7784615384615421,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.35076923076923805,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.4353846153846135,
"bp_converted_diff": 12.845384615384624,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6775641025641025,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
"momentum_diff": 12.698412698412696,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.58095238095239,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 25,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.627966730375043,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.222222222222218,
"surface_rank_synergy": 25.95502829284029,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.062000000000000055,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07261538461538458,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 56.92307692307692,
"utr_diff": 0.8800000000000008,
"utr_p1": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.3847058823529411,
"utr_advantage": 7.514944491887282,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
"utr_available": "0.018"
}
}