Shintaro Mochizuki vs Karen Khachanov
Wimbledon | Grass | Round of 64
02 Jul 2025, 16:00
02 Jul 2025, 16:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Shintaro … | Karen … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#155
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Grass
11/14 = 78,6%
Karen Khachanov
Ranking
#18
UTR Rating
15,55 Pro
UTR Ranking
#17
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
8/11 = 72,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -94,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1607 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,8281 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1773,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -84,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,1623 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,2632 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,4091 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,8947 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2381 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -14,6197 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,2800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,9100 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 11,7400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,5179 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,2000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0206 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0927 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,3435 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8838 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -9,4374 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2297 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0099 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,9800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8882 | |
| utr_advantage | -6,5073 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
6325
API ID
14046366
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"api_id": 14046366,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
"player2": "Karen Khachanov",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-07-02T12:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.57,
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"wr_surface_total": 14,
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"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.55,
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"utr": {
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"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23809523809523808,
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"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.6,
"serve_quality_diff": -14.61971428571428,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.400000000000006,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.2800000000000011,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.9099999999999895,
"bp_converted_diff": 11.739999999999995,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.517857142857142,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.199999999999989,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
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"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0206185567010309,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0926640926640927,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.34347048179633,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.883759213236276,
"surface_rank_synergy": -9.437409449039905,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22971428571428565,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.009909090909090867,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.9800000000000004,
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"utr_p2": 0.8882352941176471,
"utr_advantage": -6.507304116865872,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
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"utr_p2": "0.0107",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
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}