Jack Draper vs Marin Čilić
Wimbledon | Grass | Round of 64
03 Jul 2025, 19:50
03 Jul 2025, 19:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jack … | Marin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jack Draper
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
15,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
4/6 = 66,7%
Marin Čilić
Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Grass
9/11 = 81,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 59,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,3636 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8506 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2200,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,1515 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,6333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4545 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 81,8182 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 70,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 73,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,1301 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,2400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,5400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,3400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3861 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25,8000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1475 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0471 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6871 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,2844 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -20,6370 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1477 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3772 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -22,3030 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9294 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
6369
API ID
14046376
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jack Draper",
"player2": "Marin \u010cili\u0107",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-07-03T15:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"player_stats": {
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"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
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"utr": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
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"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
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"serve_quality_diff": 1.1301212121212103,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.239999999999995,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.5400000000000063,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.500000000000014,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.340000000000003,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.38606060606060666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.80000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
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"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1475409836065573,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0470588235294118,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.687131674864055,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.284398333983807,
"surface_rank_synergy": -20.636993596495905,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1476666666666666,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3771818181818182,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -22.30303030303034,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_p2": 0.9294117647058824,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}