Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Sebastian Korda
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2025, 07:20
08 Ene 2025, 07:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alejandro … | Sebastian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
15,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
29/46 = 63,0%
Sebastian Korda
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 39,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,7857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,3312 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1660,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,7254 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,3968 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3559 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0128 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,2874 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,7302 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 80,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 59,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1750 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -13,0619 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,7239 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,2160 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,5616 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,2474 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,1324 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 7,1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 30,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8038 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9573 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5227 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0,2976 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,2970 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0611 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1219 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 3,4509 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8788 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,9649 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
638
API ID
13291153
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 638,
"api_id": 13291153,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
"player2": "Sebastian Korda",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-01-08T03:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.62,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.04347826086957,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 53,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 3.7857142857142856,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.3312345839368631,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 1660,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.7254314019460892,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.39682539682539897,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3559322033898304,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.012787723785166,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.28735632183908,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.730158730158735,
"p1_surface_matches": 80,
"p2_surface_matches": 59,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.175,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -13.061914780844873,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.723895464032694,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.21597445394948522,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.5616094599758839,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.247420025281485,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.132379692506687,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": 7.142857142857153,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 30.5,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8038147138964578,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9572953736654805,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5227272727272727,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.29761904761904745,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.2969539544813005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.061127877237851735,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12187356321839071,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 3.4508628038921785,
"utr_diff": 0.14999999999999858,
"utr_p1": 0.896470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.8788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": 0.9649404953361118,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}