Tommy Paul vs Manuel Guinard
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2025, 08:20
08 Ene 2025, 08:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tommy … | Manuel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tommy Paul
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
15,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
16/23 = 69,6%
Manuel Guinard
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#594
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
3/10 = 30,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Tommy Paul
Sin datos UTR v4
Manuel Guinard
Record 2025
6W - 12L (33%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
14,4
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 480,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 25,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,2189 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2050,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 492,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 31,0689 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17,2177 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4186 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 68,4325 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 37,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66,1538 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,9362 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 61,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3443 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,5243 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,9441 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,1497 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,4471 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,7007 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0537 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_diff | -16,6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -27,7222 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0776 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4815 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,1026 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 100,0068 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2957 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3536 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 124,2754 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,9900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6635 | |
| utr_advantage | 13,5975 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
639
API ID
13291164
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 639,
"api_id": 13291164,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tommy Paul",
"player2": "Manuel Guinard",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-01-08T04:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 15.63,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.56521739130434,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.64,
"utr_ranking": 594,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 6,
"utr_v4_losses": 12,
"utr_v4_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 14.39,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.99,
"opponent_name": "Arthur Bouquier"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.11,
"opponent_name": "Guillaume Dalmasso"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.48,
"opponent_name": "Cleeve Harper"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.29,
"opponent_name": "Alan Magadan"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.88,
"opponent_name": "Gabriele Piraino"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:32.118988+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 30.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.63,
"ranking": 15,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.64,
"ranking": 594,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 480,
"rank_ratio": 25.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.2188758248682006,
"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"points_diff": 2050,
"best_rank_diff": 492,
"surface_wr_diff": 31.068857915539837,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.217675941080188,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4186046511627908,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 68.4324942791762,
"surface_wr_p2": 37.36363636363636,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.15384615384615,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.93617021276596,
"p1_surface_matches": 61,
"p2_surface_matches": 43,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3442622950819672,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.5242907842729494,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.9440594965675189,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.1497391304347815,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.4471395881006828,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.700686498855831,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0536696484293744,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_diff": -16.66666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -27.72222222222223,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0776014109347443,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.48148148148148145,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.102607140013524,
"surface_rank_synergy": 100.00679565059622,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.29567505720823806,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3536363636363636,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 124.27543166215935,
"utr_diff": 1.9900000000000002,
"utr_p1": 0.8976470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.6635294117647059,
"utr_advantage": 13.59754014349163,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}