Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova
Wimbledon | Grass | Round of 32
05 Jul 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daria … Liudmila … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking #43
UTR Rating 12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #58
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Grass 2/5 = 40,0%
Liudmila Samsonova
Ranking #18
UTR Rating 12,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #38
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Grass 7/10 = 70,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -25,0000
rank_ratio 0,4186
log_rank_ratio -0,8708
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -895,0000
best_rank_diff 4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18,8182
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,9053
surface_matches_ratio 0,7143
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,0000
surface_wr_p2 70,8182
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,1579
surface_wr_p2_stable 68,0000
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,6000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11,6689
first_serve_won_diff -9,4800
second_serve_won_diff 2,7400
bp_saved_diff -5,8200
bp_converted_diff 3,6400
aces_per_match_diff -3,8755
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -13,8610
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7203
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8408
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 3,8975
serve_consistency_p2 5,2320
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 16,3874
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0450
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1832
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1800
utr_p1 0,4918
utr_p2 0,5129
utr_advantage -1,4670
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 6408
API ID 14046186
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Wimbledon
Superficie Grass
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 6408,
    "api_id": 14046186,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Daria Kasatkina",
    "player2": "Liudmila Samsonova",
    "tournament": "Wimbledon",
    "surface": "grass",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-07-05T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 43,
      "utr_singles": 12.18,
      "utr_ranking": 58,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 18,
      "utr_singles": 12.36,
      "utr_ranking": 38,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.18,
      "ranking": 58,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.36,
      "ranking": 38,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -25,
    "rank_ratio": 0.4186046511627907,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8708283577973976,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -895,
    "best_rank_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -18.818181818181813,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.9052631578947383,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7142857142857143,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 70.81818181818181,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -11.66890909090909,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.480000000000004,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.739999999999995,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.82,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.6400000000000006,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.8754545454545446,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.86099999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7202797202797203,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8407960199004975,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.8975458935180267,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.231990242368069,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 16.387406369460116,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04500000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1831818181818181,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.17999999999999972,
    "utr_p1": 0.4917647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.5129411764705881,
    "utr_advantage": -1.4669926650366725,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}