Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon | Grass | Round of 32
05 Jul 2025, 17:35
05 Jul 2025, 17:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Brandon … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
6/9 = 66,7%
Lorenzo Sonego
Ranking
#40
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#45
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Grass
5/9 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2877 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 295,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -8,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,0635 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,5432 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,9524 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,9630 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,6316 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3043 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,6200 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,2100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,2300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,8700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,1730 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4,5300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,7568 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,4253 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6154 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,7473 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,3314 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,4705 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1495 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0489 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8671 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8588 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,4565 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
6425
API ID
14046388
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 6425,
"api_id": 14046388,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Brandon Nakashima",
"player2": "Lorenzo Sonego",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-07-05T13:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.37,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 45,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"points_diff": 295,
"best_rank_diff": -8,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.063492063492063,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.543209876543211,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5333333333333334,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.95238095238095,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.96296296296296,
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"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.30434782608695654,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.620031746031742,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.2099999999999937,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.230000000000004,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.300000000000011,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.870000000000001,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.1730158730158724,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.530000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.7567567567567568,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.4252873563218391,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.747294861692254,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.331363693746061,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.470450397831007,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1495238095238095,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04888888888888887,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.06999999999999851,
"utr_p1": 0.8670588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.8588235294117648,
"utr_advantage": 0.4564721225953603,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
"utr_advantage": "0.1048",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
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}
}