Alex Michelsen vs Lorenzo Sonego
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2025, 04:10
08 Ene 2025, 04:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Hard
17/34 = 50,0%
Lorenzo Sonego
Ranking
#40
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#49
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
20/40 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0526 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0513 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 110,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,5180 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,4885 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1918 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,2453 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47,7273 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,2418 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,7532 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 73,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,2211 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,1156 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,6081 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,5918 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,0983 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,5728 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_diff | -4,6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -20,6167 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8512 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2821 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4688 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,5897 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,3360 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,3343 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0405 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0207 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8588 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1834 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
643
API ID
13293211
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 643,
"api_id": 13293211,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Lorenzo Sonego",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-01-08T00:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 38,
"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 87,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 40,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 49,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.12,
"ranking": 87,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.3,
"ranking": 49,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.0526315789473684,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.05129329438755048,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 110,
"best_rank_diff": -9,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.518010291595196,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.488511488511499,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1917808219178083,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.24528301886792,
"surface_wr_p2": 47.72727272727273,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.24175824175825,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.75324675324675,
"p1_surface_matches": 87,
"p2_surface_matches": 73,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.22106153516296,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.1155791544748297,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.6080606144687692,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.591828397739889,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.09829167087074353,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.5728450711330852,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666665,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_diff": -4.666666666666657,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -20.616666666666674,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8511904761904762,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.282122905027933,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.55,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46875,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.589735886773456,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.336032148785431,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.33433022070787616,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04045283018867918,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.020727272727272705,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.1800000000000015,
"utr_p1": 0.8376470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.8588235294117648,
"utr_advantage": -1.1834319526627315,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}