Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens
Wimbledon | Grass | Round of 16
06 Jul 2025, 15:05
06 Jul 2025, 15:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Elise … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Grass
8/11 = 72.7%
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
12.43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
11/17 = 64.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 19.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 20.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.9957 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 8901.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.5873 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2.4127 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6471 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69.4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68.8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61.9048 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 11.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4545 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4467 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.5067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.5384 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.4200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5.6300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -13.5200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12.0700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.0297 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1338 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0821 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.4201 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.7596 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.7594 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1754 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2076 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.5873 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.5400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5212 | |
| utr_advantage | 4.2520 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
6497
API ID
14046208
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6497,
"api_id": 14046208,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Elise Mertens",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-07-06T15:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.97,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 72.72727272727273,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 27,
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 20.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.995732273553991,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 8901,
"best_rank_diff": 11,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.5873015873015959,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.4126984126984072,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6470588235294118,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444446,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.85714285714286,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"p1_surface_matches": 11,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.45454545454545453,
"p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.5066666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.5383650793650787,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.4200000000000017,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.630000000000003,
"bp_saved_diff": -13.519999999999989,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.070000000000007,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.029682539682539755,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1337579617834395,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0820895522388059,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.42008077176288,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.759582834080276,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.7593983193888774,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17544444444444451,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20757142857142863,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.5873015873015959,
"utr_diff": 0.5400000000000009,
"utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5211764705882352,
"utr_advantage": 4.251968503937015,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}