Jessica Pegula vs Maria Sakkari
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2025, 06:45
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … Maria … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 34/49 = 69,4%
Maria Sakkari
Ranking #53
UTR Rating 12,17 Pro
UTR Ranking #60
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 15/35 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 47,0000
rank_ratio 8,8333
log_rank_ratio 2,1785
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 4320,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 21,1115
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 18,7168
surface_matches_ratio 1,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 70,6767
surface_wr_p2 49,5652
surface_wr_p1_stable 70,3297
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,6129
p1_surface_matches 87,0000
p2_surface_matches 58,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4253
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,6965
first_serve_won_diff 3,0028
second_serve_won_diff 2,7159
bp_saved_diff 2,2268
bp_converted_diff 3,5100
aces_per_match_diff -0,3098
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1667
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 66,6667
momentum_diff -16,6667
weighted_momentum_diff -37,7611
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9061
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6193
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4615
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 7,5622
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 45,9920
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1598
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0427
elite_surface_amplifier 63,3344
UTR
utr_diff 0,5800
utr_p1 0,5588
utr_p2 0,4906
utr_advantage 4,6549
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 650
API ID 13293939
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 650,
    "api_id": 13293939,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jessica Pegula",
    "player2": "Maria Sakkari",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-01-08T02:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 12.75,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.38775510204081,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 49,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 53,
      "utr_singles": 12.17,
      "utr_ranking": 60,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.75,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.17,
      "ranking": 60,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 47,
    "rank_ratio": 8.833333333333334,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.178532444324067,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "points_diff": 4320,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 21.11147433801895,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.716767103863887,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 70.6766917293233,
    "surface_wr_p2": 49.565217391304344,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.32967032967034,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.61290322580645,
    "p1_surface_matches": 87,
    "p2_surface_matches": 58,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.42528735632183906,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.69653834586466,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.002819221967954,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.7158535469107647,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.2268329519450774,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.5100457665903875,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.3098136645962728,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
    "momentum_diff": -16.66666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -37.76111111111112,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.906060606060606,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6192893401015228,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46153846153846156,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.562169299315337,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 45.99203179288924,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.159766917293233,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04265217391304338,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 63.33442301405685,
    "utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
    "utr_p1": 0.5588235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.49058823529411766,
    "utr_advantage": 4.654895666131622,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}