Ashlyn Krueger vs Paula Badosa
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2025, 09:15
08 Ene 2025, 09:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ashlyn … | Paula … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking
#62
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#97
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Hard
18/34 = 52,9%
Paula Badosa
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#12
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
13/22 = 59,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -36,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4194 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8690 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -650,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -27,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,5454 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,6378 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,3445 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,8900 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,4247 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,0625 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 69,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0725 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,8213 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,3612 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,7724 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,7320 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0902 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4362 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| momentum_diff | 4,8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9,5714 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6348 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9567 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,1604 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,0487 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,4263 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0694 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0829 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5435 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,8701 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
652
API ID
13293938
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 652,
"api_id": 13293938,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ashlyn Krueger",
"player2": "Paula Badosa",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-01-08T05:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 97,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 12,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 97,
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},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -0.8690378470236094,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -650,
"best_rank_diff": -27,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.545414337983992,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.637842465753423,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.15,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.34453781512605,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.889952153110045,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.42465753424658,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.0625,
"p1_surface_matches": 69,
"p2_surface_matches": 60,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07246376811594203,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.8213439347030658,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.36117224880384,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.7723684210526329,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.7319617224880375,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.09019138755980549,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.43623416830847095,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_diff": 4.857142857142861,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.571428571428584,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6347826086956522,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9566787003610109,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.16044147185929,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.048706240487064,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.426288478206291,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0694453781512605,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08289952153110036,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5999999999999996,
"utr_p1": 0.4729411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.5435294117647058,
"utr_advantage": -4.870129870129867,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}