Emerson Jones vs Daria Kasatkina
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
08 Jan 2025, 11:20
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Emerson … Daria … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emerson Jones
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 11.80 Junior
UTR Ranking #8
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 3/9 = 33.3%
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking #37
UTR Rating 12.20 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 35/64 = 54.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -113.0000
rank_ratio 0.2467
log_rank_ratio -1.3997
rank_tier_advantage -2.0000
points_diff -842.0000
best_rank_diff -143.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -21.2923
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11.5704
surface_matches_ratio 0.1406
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 30.0000
surface_wr_p2 51.2923
surface_wr_p1_stable 38.1154
surface_wr_p2_stable 54.4118
p1_surface_matches 9.0000
p2_surface_matches 64.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.4200
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 0.7100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2.9275
first_serve_won_diff -0.5200
second_serve_won_diff -3.1223
bp_saved_diff -7.5231
bp_converted_diff -11.9831
aces_per_match_diff -0.8654
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.1667
last3_wr_diff -0.1667
momentum_p1 57.1429
momentum_p2 66.6667
momentum_diff -9.5238
weighted_momentum_diff 0.2405
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff -1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.3750
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.6181
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4000
serve_consistency_p1 7.3755
serve_consistency_p2 8.7496
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 29.8032
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.0870
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.1001
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.4000
utr_p1 0.4471
utr_p2 0.4941
utr_advantage -3.3333
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 656
API ID 13293941
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 656,
    "api_id": 13293941,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Emerson Jones",
    "player2": "Daria Kasatkina",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-01-08T11:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 11.8,
      "utr_ranking": 8,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 37,
      "utr_singles": 12.2,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.6875,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 64,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.8,
      "ranking": 8,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.2,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -113,
    "rank_ratio": 0.24666666666666667,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3997173814520312,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -842,
    "best_rank_diff": -143,
    "surface_wr_diff": -21.29230769230769,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.570429864253386,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.140625,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 29.999999999999996,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.29230769230769,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.11538461538462,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.41176470588235,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 64,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.71,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.927461538461529,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.519999999999996,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.122307692307686,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.523076923076928,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.983076923076922,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.8653846153846154,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
    "momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
    "momentum_diff": -9.523809523809518,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.24047619047618696,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.375,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6181229773462783,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.375478927203062,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.749598204491011,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 29.803213168147863,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08700000000000002,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10007692307692306,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
    "utr_p1": 0.44705882352941184,
    "utr_p2": 0.49411764705882344,
    "utr_advantage": -3.3333333333333215,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}