Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz
Wimbledon | Grass | Quarterfinals
08 Jul 2025, 20:05
08 Jul 2025, 20:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Cameron … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cameron Norrie
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
4/7 = 57,1%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Grass
11/12 = 91,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -26,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0370 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,2958 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -10497,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -37,9762 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -20,1733 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 90,8333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 84,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,2797 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,4200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,0100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,6600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0539 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2841 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,9946 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9119 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 125,1633 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0546 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3823 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,9400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,9306 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
6602
API ID
14046416
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6602,
"api_id": 14046416,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Cameron Norrie",
"player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-07-08T16:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 15.38,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 16.32,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 91.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.38,
"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 16.32,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -26,
"rank_ratio": 0.037037037037037035,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.295836866004329,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -10497,
"best_rank_diff": -7,
"surface_wr_diff": -37.97619047619047,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -20.173333333333332,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.85714285714285,
"surface_wr_p2": 90.83333333333331,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 84.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"combined_confidence": 0.5933333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.279666666666671,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.420000000000002,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.009999999999998,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.6599999999999966,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.199999999999996,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.333333333333334,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.053941908713693,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.284116331096197,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.994616604572595,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.9118580757423755,
"surface_rank_synergy": 125.16332860183104,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05457142857142849,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3823333333333331,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.9399999999999995,
"utr_p1": 0.8682352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": -5.9305993690851695,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}