Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon | Grass | Semifinals
11 Jul 2025, 19:55
11 Jul 2025, 19:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jannik … | Novak … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jannik Sinner
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
16,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Grass
8/9 = 88,9%
Novak Djokovic
Ranking
#4
UTR Rating
16,05 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Grass
5/6 = 83,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 6720,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,8889 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,1594 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 89,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 83,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 82,6087 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 75,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,7895 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,2080 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,5700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,6900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,3900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,1500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,4181 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,4849 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9117 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6030 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,0819 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3902 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3353 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9471 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,0962 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
6725
API ID
14046417
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6725,
"api_id": 14046417,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jannik Sinner",
"player2": "Novak Djokovic",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-07-11T15:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 2,
"utr_singles": 16.39,
"utr_ranking": 1,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 88.88888888888889,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 4,
"utr_singles": 16.05,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 83.33333333333334,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 16.39,
"ranking": 1,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 16.05,
"ranking": 3,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 2,
"rank_ratio": 2.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6931471805599453,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 6720,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.8888888888888715,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.159420289855069,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5833333333333333,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 89.22222222222221,
"surface_wr_p2": 83.33333333333334,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 82.6086956521739,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 75.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.7894736842105263,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.2079999999999984,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.5699999999999932,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.689999999999998,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.389999999999993,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.15000000000000568,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.4180602006688963,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.4849498327759196,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.911670577764428,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.602954730565168,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.08186672996411,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.39022222222222214,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3353333333333335,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.33999999999999986,
"utr_p1": 0.9870588235294119,
"utr_p2": 0.9470588235294118,
"utr_advantage": 2.0961775585696665,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}