Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz
Wimbledon | Grass | Final
13 Jul 2025, 15:15
13 Jul 2025, 15:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jannik … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jannik Sinner
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
16.48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Grass
17/19 = 89.5%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Grass
19/21 = 90.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.6931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -550.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1.6111 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0.9275 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9048 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 89.2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 90.8333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 82.6087 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 84.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.7895 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.8840 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.9300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.1700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.9500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8.4100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.6000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -2.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.4181 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.2841 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.6936 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.8215 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.1167 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.3932 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.4073 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9906 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.3647 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
6799
API ID
14046430
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6799,
"api_id": 14046430,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jannik Sinner",
"player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-07-13T15:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 2,
"utr_singles": 16.48,
"utr_ranking": 1,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 89.47368421052632,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 16.42,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 90.47619047619048,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 16.48,
"ranking": 1,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.5,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6931471805599453,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -550,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.6111111111111,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.9275362318840621,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9047619047619048,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 89.22222222222221,
"surface_wr_p2": 90.83333333333331,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 82.6086956521739,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 84.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.7894736842105263,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"combined_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.8840000000000003,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.9299999999999926,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.1699999999999946,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.9500000000000028,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.409999999999997,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.5999999999999996,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -2,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.4180602006688963,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.284116331096197,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.693611868230614,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.821457945195313,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.1167371242354598,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.39322222222222214,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.4073333333333331,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.05999999999999872,
"utr_p1": 0.9976470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.9905882352941179,
"utr_advantage": 0.3647416413373782,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 2
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}