Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Bastad | Clay | Qualification Final
14 Jul 2025, 13:00
14 Jul 2025, 13:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nicolai … | Pablo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking
#133
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Clay
18/30 = 60,0%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Ranking
#204
UTR Rating
14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#162
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (6p)
WR Clay
21/31 = 67,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 71,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5338 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4278 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 184,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,0860 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,3694 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6939 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,0860 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,2642 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 49,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1765 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,8899 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,2900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,0800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,1300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5235 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,4250 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7660 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,8777 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8220 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,0312 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0010 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2119 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -7,0860 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7694 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
6809
API ID
14175440
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bastad
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6809,
"api_id": 14175440,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
"player2": "Pablo Llamas Ruiz",
"tournament": "Bastad",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-07-14T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 133,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 204,
"utr_singles": 14.54,
"utr_ranking": 162,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 67.74193548387096,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.54,
"ranking": 162,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.5338345864661653,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4277708656224626,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 184,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.086021505376337,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.369414101290957,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6938775510204082,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.08602150537634,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.89473684210527,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.264150943396224,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 49,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.17647058823529413,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.8899032258064494,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.099999999999994,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.2899999999999991,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.0799999999999983,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.13000000000000256,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5235483870967745,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": 10.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.424999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7659574468085106,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.8777136558715615,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.822012455159614,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.031193553174221,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0010000000000000009,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2118602150537633,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -7.086021505376337,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.7694117647058822,
"utr_p2": 0.7694117647058822,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
"utr_advantage": "0.1048",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
"utr_available": "0.0143"
}
}