Andrea Pellegrino vs Timofey Skatov
Bastad | Clay | Qualification Final
14 Jul 2025, 10:30
14 Jul 2025, 10:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Andrea … | Timofey … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrea Pellegrino
Ranking
#141
UTR Rating
14.39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#201
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Clay
52/95 = 54.7%
Timofey Skatov
Ranking
#239
UTR Rating
14.25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#249
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
56% (9p)
WR Clay
48/79 = 60.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 98.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.6950 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.5277 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 200.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -3.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0.4848 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5.6955 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.2025 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57.9556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58.4403 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60.2410 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 95.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 79.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0947 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0.5589 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.3500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3.2700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0.0800 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0330 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7.7300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.4414 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.6938 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.2558 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0184 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1824 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -0.4848 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7353 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.9777 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
6811
API ID
14176270
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bastad
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6811,
"api_id": 14176270,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Andrea Pellegrino",
"player2": "Timofey Skatov",
"tournament": "Bastad",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-07-14T10:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 141,
"utr_singles": 14.39,
"utr_ranking": 201,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.736842105263165,
"wr_surface_wins": 52,
"wr_surface_total": 95,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 239,
"utr_singles": 14.25,
"utr_ranking": 249,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.75949367088608,
"wr_surface_wins": 48,
"wr_surface_total": 79,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 201,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.6950354609929077,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5277036615533424,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 200,
"best_rank_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.4847525317358574,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.69550930996715,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2025316455696202,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.95555555555555,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.440308087291406,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.24096385542169,
"p1_surface_matches": 95,
"p2_surface_matches": 79,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09473684210526316,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.5589466552560225,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.3500000000000085,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.499999999999993,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.269999999999996,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.0799999999999983,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.033026672371986754,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -12.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.730000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.441428773002901,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.693821242149733,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.2558056859442648,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.018444444444444485,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18240308087291401,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.4847525317358574,
"utr_diff": 0.14000000000000057,
"utr_p1": 0.751764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.7352941176470589,
"utr_advantage": 0.9776536312849202,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}