Andrea Pellegrino vs Timofey Skatov
Bastad | Clay | Qualification Final
14 Jul 2025, 14:30
14 Jul 2025, 14:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Andrea … | Timofey … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrea Pellegrino
Ranking
#138
UTR Rating
14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#215
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Clay
28/45 = 62,2%
Timofey Skatov
Ranking
#183
UTR Rating
14,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#227
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
56% (9p)
WR Clay
21/38 = 55,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 45,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3261 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2822 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 114,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,4848 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,6955 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2025 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,9556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,4403 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,2410 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 95,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 79,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0947 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,5589 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,3500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,2700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,0800 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0330 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,7650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4414 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,6938 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,1368 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0346 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1294 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7424 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,3488 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
6811
API ID
14176270
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bastad
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6811,
"api_id": 14176270,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Andrea Pellegrino",
"player2": "Timofey Skatov",
"tournament": "Bastad",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-07-14T10:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 138,
"utr_singles": 14.36,
"utr_ranking": 215,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.22222222222222,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 183,
"utr_singles": 14.31,
"utr_ranking": 227,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.26315789473685,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.36,
"ranking": 215,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.31,
"ranking": 227,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 45,
"rank_ratio": 1.326086956521739,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.28223246768421617,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 114,
"best_rank_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.4847525317358574,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.69550930996715,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2025316455696202,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.95555555555555,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.440308087291406,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.24096385542169,
"p1_surface_matches": 95,
"p2_surface_matches": 79,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09473684210526316,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.5589466552560225,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.3500000000000085,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.499999999999993,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.269999999999996,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.0799999999999983,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.033026672371986754,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -12.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.765,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.441428773002901,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.693821242149733,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.13681290324798234,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03455555555555556,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12940308087291397,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.049999999999998934,
"utr_p1": 0.748235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.7423529411764707,
"utr_advantage": 0.3487966515521376,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}