Lorenzo Carboni vs Gonzalo Villanueva
San Marino, San Marino | Clay | Qualification Round 1
13 Jul 2025, 19:25
13 Jul 2025, 19:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | Gonzalo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Carboni
Ranking
#427
UTR Rating
13,76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#513
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Clay
5/15 = 33,3%
Gonzalo Villanueva
Ranking
#349
UTR Rating
13,87 Pro
UTR Ranking
#448
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Clay
23/46 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -78,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8173 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2017 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -34,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -147,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -23,0303 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -17,4983 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1875 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 28,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 32,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,5862 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 112,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,5429 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,1700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,7700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,1600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,4711 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,2800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 102,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3793 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1834 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,6455 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1387 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0644 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6906 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,7962 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
6841
API ID
14170430
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
San Marino, San Marino
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6841,
"api_id": 14170430,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lorenzo Carboni",
"player2": "Gonzalo Villanueva",
"tournament": "San Marino, San Marino",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-07-13T15:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 427,
"utr_singles": 13.76,
"utr_ranking": 513,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 349,
"utr_singles": 13.87,
"utr_ranking": 448,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 513,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 448,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.8173302107728337,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.20171209102619736,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -34,
"best_rank_diff": -147,
"surface_wr_diff": -23.03030303030303,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.498275862068965,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1875,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 28.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.36363636363636,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.58620689655172,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 112,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.542865612648228,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.1700000000000017,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.000000000000007,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.770000000000003,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.160000000000004,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.47106719367588945,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"momentum_diff": 28.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.280000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 102,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3793103448275862,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.183357190348844,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.645490581209394,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13866666666666677,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0643636363636364,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.10999999999999943,
"utr_p1": 0.6776470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.6905882352941175,
"utr_advantage": -0.7962359753890657,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}