Alina Korneeva vs Madison Sieg
WTA 125K Porto, Portugal Women Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
14 Jul 2025, 11:35
14 Jul 2025, 11:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alina … | Madison … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alina Korneeva
Ranking
#214
UTR Rating
11.97 Junior
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (5p)
WR Hard
18/30 = 60.0%
Madison Sieg
Ranking
#442
UTR Rating
11.08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#428
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/3 = 0.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 228.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.0654 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.7253 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 215.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 166.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 49.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 33.6689 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 10.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58.8235 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 8.5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6700 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6.6594 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 16.7295 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -20.2845 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9.8130 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 19.0190 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.1900 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 66.6667 | |
| momentum_diff | -26.6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21.6300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7349 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.9877 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.7207 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 35.5414 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2380 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.2720 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.8900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4671 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.3624 | |
| utr_advantage | 7.7223 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
6862
API ID
14176147
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Porto, Portugal Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 6862,
"api_id": 14176147,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alina Korneeva",
"player2": "Madison Sieg",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Porto, Portugal Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-07-14T11:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.97,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Junior",
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"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.08,
"utr_ranking": 428,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 215,
"best_rank_diff": 166,
"surface_wr_diff": 49.0,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 33.66890756302521,
"surface_matches_ratio": 10.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 8.571428571428571,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"combined_confidence": 0.6699999999999999,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.659399999999998,
"first_serve_won_diff": 16.729499999999994,
"second_serve_won_diff": -20.28450000000001,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.813000000000002,
"bp_converted_diff": 19.019000000000002,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.1900000000000004,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4666666666666666,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_diff": -26.66666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.629999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7349397590361446,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.9876709353339415,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.7207102692361085,
"surface_rank_synergy": 35.54135948573648,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.238,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.272,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.8900000000000006,
"utr_p1": 0.46705882352941186,
"utr_p2": 0.3623529411764706,
"utr_advantage": 7.722342733188725,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}