Elias Ymer vs Luciano Darderi
Bastad | Clay | Round of 16
16 Jul 2025, 19:30
16 Jul 2025, 19:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elias … | Luciano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elias Ymer
Ranking
#175
UTR Rating
14,20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#284
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Clay
15/33 = 45,5%
Luciano Darderi
Ranking
#25
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#80
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
30/41 = 73,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -150,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,9459 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1262,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -81,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -28,6792 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -26,2128 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5111 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -6,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 43,3566 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72,0358 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,2128 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 90,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1304 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,2584 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,9900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,7300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,1500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,1100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,7222 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,9030 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1125 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6296 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5362 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,4839 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 55,8071 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0836 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0704 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,9100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8365 | |
| utr_advantage | -6,2095 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
6991
API ID
14147198
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bastad
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6991,
"api_id": 14147198,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Elias Ymer",
"player2": "Luciano Darderi",
"tournament": "Bastad",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-07-16T15:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 175,
"utr_singles": 14.2,
"utr_ranking": 284,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 25,
"utr_singles": 15.11,
"utr_ranking": 80,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.17073170731707,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.2,
"ranking": 284,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.11,
"ranking": 80,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -150,
"rank_ratio": 0.14285714285714285,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.9459101490553135,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1262,
"best_rank_diff": -81,
"surface_wr_diff": -28.679195369090834,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -26.212765957446805,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5111111111111111,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -6,
"surface_wr_p1": 43.35664335664336,
"surface_wr_p2": 72.0358387257342,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.2127659574468,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 90,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.13043478260869565,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.258373280610229,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.989999999999995,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.730000000000004,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.150000000000006,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.10999999999999943,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7221866403051078,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.902999999999992,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1125,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.18181818181818182,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6296296296296297,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.536202167582498,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.483935459749452,
"surface_rank_synergy": 55.807137335454,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08356643356643362,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07035838725734189,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.9100000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.7294117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.8364705882352941,
"utr_advantage": -6.209484817468442,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}