Leolia Jeanjean vs Ella Seidel
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
07 Jan 2025, 23:00
07 Jan 2025, 23:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Leolia … | Ella … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leolia Jeanjean
Ranking
#103
UTR Rating
11.91 Pro
UTR Ranking
#140
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
19/35 = 54.3%
Ella Seidel
Ranking
#86
UTR Rating
12.11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
39/62 = 62.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -17.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8350 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1804 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -73.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9.8644 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8.2751 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.5645 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.2803 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64.1447 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53.8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62.1212 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0857 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0.7427 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.2279 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4.4030 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3.5734 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2.0565 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.7248 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 44.4444 | |
| momentum_diff | 25.5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 19.2833 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6885 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.2353 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5833 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13.0468 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.3982 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.7794 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0598 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1244 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4600 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4835 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.6653 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
701
API ID
13305577
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 701,
"api_id": 13305577,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Leolia Jeanjean",
"player2": "Ella Seidel",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2025-01-07T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 103,
"utr_singles": 11.91,
"utr_ranking": 140,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.285714285714285,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 86,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 75,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.903225806451616,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 140,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 75,
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.8349514563106796,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.18038169197612808,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -73,
"best_rank_diff": -7,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.864433811802236,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.275058275058278,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5645161290322581,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.280303030303024,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.14473684210526,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.121212121212125,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 62,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08571428571428572,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.7427402312599796,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.227894736842103,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.402960526315788,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.573355263157893,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.0565131578947415,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.7248405103668265,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.46666666666666673,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 44.44444444444445,
"momentum_diff": 25.55555555555555,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 19.283333333333346,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6885245901639344,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.0467885990378,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.3981909717253376,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.779363261359414,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05980303030303025,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12444736842105264,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.1999999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.46,
"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_advantage": -1.6652789342214762,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
"utr_available": "0.018"
}
}