Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone
Bastad | Clay | Round of 16
17 Jul 2025, 18:25
17 Jul 2025, 18:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Francisco … | Mariano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francisco Cerundolo
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#43
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
21/32 = 65,6%
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
28/42 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 53,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,5238 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2595 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1275,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,7353 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,2819 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7711 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,6875 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,4228 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,2353 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65,5172 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 64,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 83,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2813 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,0394 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,1600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,6800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,5600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,4300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,5777 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -45,9050 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 17,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9418 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7356 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5833 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,5583 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,9202 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,1856 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0939 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2172 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -1,7353 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8059 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,3113 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7030
API ID
14147194
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bastad
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7030,
"api_id": 14147194,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Francisco Cerundolo",
"player2": "Mariano Navone",
"tournament": "Bastad",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-07-17T14:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 15.35,
"utr_ranking": 43,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.625,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 14.85,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.35,
"ranking": 43,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.85,
"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 53,
"rank_ratio": 3.5238095238095237,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.2595426554807467,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 1275,
"best_rank_diff": 11,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.7352642276422614,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.2819472616632908,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7710843373493976,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.6875,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.42276422764226,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.23529411764706,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.51724137931035,
"p1_surface_matches": 64,
"p2_surface_matches": 83,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.28125,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.03938617886179,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.159999999999997,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.6799999999999997,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.5600000000000023,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.43,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.5776930894308943,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -60.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -45.90500000000001,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9417989417989417,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7355769230769231,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.558314488947399,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.92019196921232,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.185639313245281,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09387500000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21722764227642255,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -1.7352642276422614,
"utr_diff": 0.5,
"utr_p1": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_p2": 0.8058823529411764,
"utr_advantage": 3.3112582781456954,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}