Sebastián Báez vs Luciano Darderi
Bastad | Clay | Quarterfinals
18 Jul 2025, 13:50
18 Jul 2025, 13:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastián … | Luciano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastián Báez
Ranking
#45
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Clay
39/63 = 61.9%
Luciano Darderi
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
15.29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
64/90 = 71.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -19.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5778 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.5486 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -454.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 8.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14.9062 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9.0187 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57.1296 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72.0358 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61.1940 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70.2128 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 63.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 90.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2381 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9.7419 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8.0300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.7300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.3200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.3900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.1540 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -40.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -29.6300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8242 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1125 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6296 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.6137 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.9683 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8.1770 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0903 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2014 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8576 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7059
API ID
14147193
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bastad
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 7059,
"api_id": 14147193,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
"player2": "Luciano Darderi",
"tournament": "Bastad",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-07-18T13:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_total": 63,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.29,
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"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 64,
"wr_surface_total": 90,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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"utr": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 90,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23809523809523808,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.741918994155938,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.029999999999987,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.730000000000018,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.3199999999999932,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.3899999999999935,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.1539594970779645,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": -40.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -29.629999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8241758241758241,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1125,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6296296296296297,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.613703961834661,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.968323738455164,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.17703877977179,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09029629629629621,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2013583872573419,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}