Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Denis Shapovalov
Los Cabos | Hard | Final
20 Jul 2025, 07:00
20 Jul 2025, 07:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aleksandar … | Denis … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#127
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/46 = 52,2%
Denis Shapovalov
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
23/37 = 62,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -33,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4107 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8899 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -686,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -44,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,1629 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,7301 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2297 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,1884 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,5263 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,2564 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 91,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0110 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,4578 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,7178 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,2177 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,8718 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,3537 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0243 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0882 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7597 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4510 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,7771 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3881 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9,0436 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0449 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0805 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,6484 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7097
API ID
14212342
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Los Cabos
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7097,
"api_id": 14212342,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
"player2": "Denis Shapovalov",
"tournament": "Los Cabos",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-07-20T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 14.8,
"utr_ranking": 127,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 23,
"utr_singles": 15.35,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.16216216216216,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.8,
"ranking": 127,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.35,
"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -33,
"rank_ratio": 0.4107142857142857,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8898574748059995,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -686,
"best_rank_diff": -44,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.162945554249902,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.73009446693657,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2297297297297298,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.188405797101446,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.35135135135135,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.526315789473685,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.256410256410255,
"p1_surface_matches": 91,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.01098901098901099,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.4577775949862826,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.7177939678809366,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.2177179788484125,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.8717947512730149,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.353651390520952,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.024320407363886076,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.088235294117647,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7596685082872928,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45098039215686275,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.777089209156655,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.388066291632515,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.043573067495677,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04488405797101447,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08051351351351343,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5499999999999989,
"utr_p1": 0.8,
"utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_advantage": -3.648424543946925,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}