Luciano Darderi vs Jesper De Jong
Bastad | Clay | Final
20 Jul 2025, 16:00
20 Jul 2025, 16:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luciano … | Jesper … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luciano Darderi
Ranking
#25
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#80
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
30/41 = 73,2%
Jesper De Jong
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
14,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 48,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,9200 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0716 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 836,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 47,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,4163 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,3591 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1538 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 72,0358 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,6196 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 70,2128 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65,8537 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 90,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 78,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,5776 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,0800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,7500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,1800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,2500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,8313 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1125 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1637 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6296 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0231 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,7570 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,9472 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1724 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1942 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 7,4163 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8200 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,9309 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7158
API ID
14147200
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bastad
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7158,
"api_id": 14147200,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Luciano Darderi",
"player2": "Jesper De Jong",
"tournament": "Bastad",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-07-20T12:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 25,
"utr_singles": 15.11,
"utr_ranking": 80,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.17073170731707,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 14.97,
"utr_ranking": 92,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.11,
"ranking": 80,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.97,
"ranking": 92,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 48,
"rank_ratio": 2.92,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0715836162801904,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 836,
"best_rank_diff": 47,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.416273508342897,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.359107420861434,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1538461538461537,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_p1": 72.0358387257342,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.6195652173913,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.2127659574468,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.85365853658537,
"p1_surface_matches": 90,
"p2_surface_matches": 78,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.5775620847490615,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.0800000000000125,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.750000000000007,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.18,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.25,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.8312810423745312,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1125,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1637426900584795,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6296296296296297,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.023057443568915,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.756997543235561,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.947157185393056,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17235838725734187,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.194195652173913,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 7.416273508342897,
"utr_diff": 0.1399999999999988,
"utr_p1": 0.8364705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.8200000000000001,
"utr_advantage": 0.9308510638297792,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}