Luciano Darderi vs Jesper De Jong
Bastad | Clay | Final
20 Jul 2025, 12:00
20 Jul 2025, 12:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luciano … | Jesper … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luciano Darderi
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
15.29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
64/90 = 71.1%
Jesper De Jong
Ranking
#76
UTR Rating
15.16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#91
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
52/78 = 66.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 50.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.9231 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.0726 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 846.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 50.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7.4163 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4.3591 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1538 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 5.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 72.0358 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64.6196 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 70.2128 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65.8537 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 90.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 78.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.5776 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.0800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.7500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4.1800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.2500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.8313 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1125 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1637 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6296 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0231 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1.7570 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7.9550 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1704 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1962 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 7.4163 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8424 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.8539 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7158
API ID
14147200
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bastad
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7158,
"api_id": 14147200,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Luciano Darderi",
"player2": "Jesper De Jong",
"tournament": "Bastad",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-07-20T12:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 15.29,
"utr_ranking": 81,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 64,
"wr_surface_total": 90,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 91,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 52,
"wr_surface_total": 78,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.29,
"ranking": 81,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 91,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 50,
"rank_ratio": 2.923076923076923,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.072636802264849,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 846,
"best_rank_diff": 50,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.416273508342897,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.359107420861434,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1538461538461537,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_p1": 72.0358387257342,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.6195652173913,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.2127659574468,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.85365853658537,
"p1_surface_matches": 90,
"p2_surface_matches": 78,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.5775620847490615,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.0800000000000125,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.750000000000007,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.18,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.25,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.8312810423745312,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1125,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1637426900584795,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6296296296296297,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.023057443568915,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.756997543235561,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.954967900710438,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17035838725734187,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.196195652173913,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 7.416273508342897,
"utr_diff": 0.129999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.8576470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.8423529411764706,
"utr_advantage": 0.8538587848932612,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}