Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier
Washington | Hard | Round of 64
21 Jul 2025, 19:00
21 Jul 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Daniel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#65
UTR Rating
15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Daniel Altmaier
Ranking
#44
UTR Rating
15,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/38 = 44,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -21,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6769 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3902 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -225,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 14,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,7040 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,2802 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1017 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,8769 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,1729 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,7246 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 65,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 59,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0154 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,4927 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,7644 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,0032 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,0907 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,7031 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,1557 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4,9650 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8847 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6897 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5185 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,8307 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8380 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,2257 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0198 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0793 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8306 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8353 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,2653 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
7200
API ID
14226506
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Washington
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"player2": "Daniel Altmaier",
"tournament": "Washington",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-07-21T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.06,
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"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.1,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 44.73684210526316,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -0.3901976359773759,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -225,
"best_rank_diff": 14,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.703961608566871,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.280193236714979,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1016949152542372,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 44.17293233082707,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.72463768115942,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"p1_surface_matches": 65,
"p2_surface_matches": 59,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.015384615384615385,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.4927183583959902,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.7643829744816486,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.003230661881986,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.09073365231260055,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.7030661881977665,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1557480348598776,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.965000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8847352024922118,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6896551724137931,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5185185185185185,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.8307489567863175,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.83796130806881,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.2256723353685035,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.019768939393939422,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07927067669172938,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.03999999999999915,
"utr_p1": 0.8305882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.8352941176470587,
"utr_advantage": -0.2652519893899148,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
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}