Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Evans
Washington | Hard | Round of 32
23 Jul 2025, 02:05
23 Jul 2025, 02:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Daniel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/34 = 50,0%
Daniel Evans
Ranking
#188
UTR Rating
14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#216
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
7/18 = 38,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 150,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,9474 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5989 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1036,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,6752 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13,7973 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1220 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,2453 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,5700 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,2418 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,7853 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,9609 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,0564 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,1439 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,2835 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6609 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -34,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -34,0200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 21,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8512 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9416 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2778 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2619 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4735 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 20,2659 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1075 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0657 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 25,3505 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7447 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,3650 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7257
API ID
14192219
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Washington
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7257,
"api_id": 14192219,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Daniel Evans",
"tournament": "Washington",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-07-22T22:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 38,
"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 87,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 188,
"utr_singles": 14.33,
"utr_ranking": 216,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 38.88888888888889,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 87,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 216,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 4.947368421052632,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5988558031035636,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 1036,
"best_rank_diff": -9,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.675234709689178,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.797313797313805,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.1219512195121952,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.24528301886792,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.570048309178745,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.24175824175825,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"p1_surface_matches": 87,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.7852549448546142,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.960887687861586,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.056439275737638184,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.143889103358056,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.28351949256595,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6608714418225583,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -34.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -34.02000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 21,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8511904761904762,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9416058394160584,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.55,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2777777777777778,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.261887542527911,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.473451360783706,
"surface_rank_synergy": 20.265872571286256,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10754716981132084,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06570048309178744,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 25.350469419378356,
"utr_diff": 0.7899999999999991,
"utr_p1": 0.8376470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
"utr_advantage": 5.365025466893034,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}