Jesper De Jong vs Mili Poljičak
Umag | Clay | Round of 32
22 Jul 2025, 17:30
22 Jul 2025, 17:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jesper … | Mili … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jesper De Jong
Ranking
#76
UTR Rating
15.16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#91
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
52/78 = 66.7%
Mili Poljičak
Ranking
#396
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Clay
17/36 = 47.2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 320.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5.2105 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.6507 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 640.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 181.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17.5287 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 18.3537 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2.1667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64.6196 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47.0909 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65.8537 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47.5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 78.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5.2147 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.5100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7.1900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.8800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6.3400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.9014 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.3000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42.8571 | |
| momentum_diff | 17.1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 27.9000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1637 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.7449 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 28.9342 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1738 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2909 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 35.0573 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8424 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7269
API ID
14217447
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Umag
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jesper De Jong",
"player2": "Mili Polji\u010dak",
"tournament": "Umag",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-07-22T17:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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},
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"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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},
"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 181,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 78,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.214730237154157,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.510000000000005,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.190000000000005,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.8800000000000026,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.340000000000003,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9013651185770746,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.30000000000000004,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
"momentum_diff": 17.14285714285714,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 27.900000000000006,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 5,
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"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1637426900584795,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 2.7449499344251604,
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"surface_rank_synergy": 28.934217361762833,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1738043478260871,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.290909090909091,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 35.05731225296441,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_p2": 0.8423529411764706,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
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"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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}