Daniil Medvedev vs Reilly Opelka
Washington | Hard | Round of 32
23 Jul 2025, 20:40
23 Jul 2025, 20:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniil … | Reilly … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
15,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
30/46 = 65,2%
Reilly Opelka
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
15,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 52,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5,7273 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,7452 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2187,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 16,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,3717 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,0526 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,8511 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,8717 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67,0330 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,9804 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3563 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -16,3736 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,9556 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,1454 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -10,8977 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,0510 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,9261 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,7200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 23,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8844 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0270 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6111 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4412 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1,4675 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,7591 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 30,3178 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1167 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0470 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 34,7434 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9141 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8459 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,7468 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
7298
API ID
14192223
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Washington
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-07-23T16:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
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"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.884375,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 1.4675311099610153,
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11671686108165413,
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"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
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"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
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"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
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"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
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"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
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"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
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"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
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