Daniil Medvedev vs Reilly Opelka
Washington | Hard | Round of 32
23 Jul 2025, 16:40
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daniil … Reilly … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 15.94 Pro
UTR Ranking #17
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 59/87 = 67.8%
Reilly Opelka
Ranking #50
UTR Rating 15.33 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 24/47 = 51.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 37.0000
rank_ratio 3.8462
log_rank_ratio 1.3471
rank_tier_advantage 1.0000
points_diff 1734.0000
best_rank_diff 16.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17.3717
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16.0526
surface_matches_ratio 1.8511
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 66.8717
surface_wr_p2 49.5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 67.0330
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.9804
p1_surface_matches 87.0000
p2_surface_matches 47.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.3563
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -16.3736
first_serve_won_diff -0.9556
second_serve_won_diff -0.1454
bp_saved_diff -10.8977
bp_converted_diff 6.0510
aces_per_match_diff -7.9261
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 30.0000
momentum_p2 62.0000
momentum_diff -32.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -13.5900
current_streak_diff -3.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 23.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 0.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff -1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.8844
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.0270
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.6111
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4412
serve_consistency_p1 1.4675
serve_consistency_p2 3.7591
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 23.4009
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1317
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0320
elite_surface_amplifier 17.3717
UTR
utr_diff 0.6100
utr_p1 0.9341
utr_p2 0.8624
utr_advantage 3.9015
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 7298
API ID 14192223
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Washington
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 7298,
    "api_id": 14192223,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Daniil Medvedev",
    "player2": "Reilly Opelka",
    "tournament": "Washington",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-07-23T16:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 13,
      "utr_singles": 15.94,
      "utr_ranking": 17,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 67.81609195402298,
      "wr_surface_wins": 59,
      "wr_surface_total": 87,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 50,
      "utr_singles": 15.33,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.06382978723404,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.94,
      "ranking": 17,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.33,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 37,
    "rank_ratio": 3.8461538461538463,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.3470736479666094,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "points_diff": 1734,
    "best_rank_diff": 16,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.37168610816542,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.05257487610428,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.851063829787234,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.87168610816542,
    "surface_wr_p2": 49.5,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.03296703296702,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.98039215686274,
    "p1_surface_matches": 87,
    "p2_surface_matches": 47,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3563218390804598,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -16.37358059384941,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.9556044538706345,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.14541887592788783,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.897714740190878,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.050980911983029,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -7.926076352067868,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_diff": -32.000000000000014,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.590000000000003,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.884375,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.027027027027027,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4411764705882353,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 1.4675311099610153,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.759111393047154,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 23.400940577057266,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13171686108165426,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03199999999999992,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 17.37168610816542,
    "utr_diff": 0.6099999999999994,
    "utr_p1": 0.9341176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.8623529411764705,
    "utr_advantage": 3.9015030380556404,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}