Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Sonego
Washington | Hard | Round of 32
23 Jul 2025, 21:25
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Matteo … Lorenzo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking #65
UTR Rating 15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #82
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Lorenzo Sonego
Ranking #60
UTR Rating 15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking #45
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 20/40 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -5,0000
rank_ratio 0,9231
log_rank_ratio -0,0800
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -32,0000
best_rank_diff -9,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,1496
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,9714
surface_matches_ratio 0,8904
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 49,8769
surface_wr_p2 47,7273
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,7246
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,7532
p1_surface_matches 65,0000
p2_surface_matches 73,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0154
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,0053
first_serve_won_diff -1,4586
second_serve_won_diff 1,4371
bp_saved_diff -3,5577
bp_converted_diff 0,5711
aces_per_match_diff -0,8536
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,7750
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 16,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7625
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2821
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6897
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4688
serve_consistency_p1 5,4467
serve_consistency_p2 3,4178
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,1721
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0038
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0277
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2400
utr_p1 0,8306
utr_p2 0,8588
utr_advantage -1,5810
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1048
utr_diff 0,0861
surface_wr_diff 0,0678
points_diff 0,0255
surface_rank_synergy 0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0231
utr_both_pro 0,0206
rank_ratio 0,0174
rank_advantage 0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID 7299
API ID 14192228
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Washington
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 7299,
    "api_id": 14192228,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Matteo Arnaldi",
    "player2": "Lorenzo Sonego",
    "tournament": "Washington",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-07-23T17:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 65,
      "utr_singles": 15.06,
      "utr_ranking": 82,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 60,
      "utr_singles": 15.3,
      "utr_ranking": 45,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.06,
      "ranking": 82,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.3,
      "ranking": 45,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -5,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9230769230769231,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.08004270767353637,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": -32,
    "best_rank_diff": -9,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.149621212121211,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.9713909279126725,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8904109589041096,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 49.87689393939394,
    "surface_wr_p2": 47.72727272727273,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.72463768115942,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.75324675324675,
    "p1_surface_matches": 65,
    "p2_surface_matches": 73,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.015384615384615385,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.005348484848497,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.4586174242424192,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.4370643939393943,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.5576893939394054,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.5710984848484841,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.8535795454545463,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -9.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.775000000000006,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7625,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.282122905027933,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6896551724137931,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46875,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.446662596820663,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.417777492141498,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.172061502290651,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.003768939393939408,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02772727272727271,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
    "utr_p1": 0.8305882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.8588235294117648,
    "utr_advantage": -1.581027667984191,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0169",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0174",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
    "points_diff": "0.0255",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0121",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0124",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0106",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0126",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0104",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0107",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0107",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0098",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
    "utr_diff": "0.0861",
    "utr_p1": "0.0119",
    "utr_p2": "0.0107",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1048",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
    "utr_available": "0.0143"
  }
}