Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Sonego
Washington | Hard | Round of 32
23 Jul 2025, 21:25
23 Jul 2025, 21:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#65
UTR Rating
15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Lorenzo Sonego
Ranking
#60
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#45
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
20/40 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -5,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9231 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0800 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -32,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,1496 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,9714 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8904 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,8769 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47,7273 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,7246 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,7532 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 65,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 73,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0154 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,0053 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,4586 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,4371 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,5577 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,5711 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,8536 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,7750 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 16,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2821 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6897 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4688 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,4467 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,4178 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,1721 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0038 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0277 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8306 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8588 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,5810 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
7299
API ID
14192228
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Washington
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 14192228,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"player2": "Lorenzo Sonego",
"tournament": "Washington",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-07-23T17:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 45,
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"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
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"form_l10_matches": 10
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"utr": {
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"features": {
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"points_diff": -32,
"best_rank_diff": -9,
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"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.9713909279126725,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8904109589041096,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.72463768115942,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.75324675324675,
"p1_surface_matches": 65,
"p2_surface_matches": 73,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.015384615384615385,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.005348484848497,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.4586174242424192,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.4370643939393943,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.5576893939394054,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.5710984848484841,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.8535795454545463,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.775000000000006,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.282122905027933,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6896551724137931,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46875,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.446662596820663,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.417777492141498,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.172061502290651,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.003768939393939408,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02772727272727271,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
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"utr_p2": 0.8588235294117648,
"utr_advantage": -1.581027667984191,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
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"utr_p2": "0.0107",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
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}