Taylor Fritz vs Matteo Arnaldi
Washington | Hard | Round of 16
25 Jul 2025, 00:05
25 Jul 2025, 00:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Taylor … | Matteo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taylor Fritz
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
16.00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#11
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
59/88 = 67.0%
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
33/65 = 50.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 55.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 10.1667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.3191 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3.0000 | |
| points_diff | 3252.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 26.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17.4599 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15.5797 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.3538 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 67.3368 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49.8769 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66.3043 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.7246 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 88.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3409 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 13.7498 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6.2565 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.1842 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7.2599 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2.0025 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4.8331 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4.3860 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.2700 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5652 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6897 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.0993 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.4473 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 40.4916 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1184 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0538 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 52.3798 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8729 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.6919 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7339
API ID
14192210
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Washington
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7339,
"api_id": 14192210,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Taylor Fritz",
"player2": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"tournament": "Washington",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-07-25T00:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 16.0,
"utr_ranking": 11,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 67.04545454545455,
"wr_surface_wins": 59,
"wr_surface_total": 88,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 61,
"utr_singles": 15.42,
"utr_ranking": 66,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.76923076923077,
"wr_surface_wins": 33,
"wr_surface_total": 65,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 16.0,
"ranking": 11,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.42,
"ranking": 66,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 55,
"rank_ratio": 10.166666666666666,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.3191143949452564,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 3252,
"best_rank_diff": 26,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.45994816586922,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.579710144927532,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.353846153846154,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 67.33684210526316,
"surface_wr_p2": 49.87689393939394,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.30434782608695,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.72463768115942,
"p1_surface_matches": 88,
"p2_surface_matches": 65,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3409090909090909,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 13.749811140350886,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.2565092902711115,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.1842114433811872,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.2599231259968136,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.002481180223292,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.83314653110048,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.38600000000001,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.27,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7625,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5652173913043478,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6896551724137931,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.099293177112937,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.447309947703674,
"surface_rank_synergy": 40.491617126465336,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11836842105263168,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05376893939393934,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 52.379844497607664,
"utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.9411764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.8729411764705882,
"utr_advantage": 3.6919159770846597,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}