Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Umag | Clay | Quarterfinals
24 Jul 2025, 18:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pablo … Camilo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Ranking #213
UTR Rating 14,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #155
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 21/31 = 67,7%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #117
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 22/36 = 61,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -164,0000
rank_ratio 0,2300
log_rank_ratio -1,4695
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -754,0000
best_rank_diff -88,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,1767
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,3910
surface_matches_ratio 0,4375
surface_tournaments_won_diff -4,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,0860
surface_wr_p2 62,9094
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,2642
surface_wr_p2_stable 64,6552
p1_surface_matches 49,0000
p2_surface_matches 112,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2653
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,8272
first_serve_won_diff -4,1600
second_serve_won_diff 1,9000
bp_saved_diff -1,5400
bp_converted_diff 4,2600
aces_per_match_diff -0,6586
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14,0650
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7660
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5417
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5405
serve_consistency_p1 7,9532
serve_consistency_p2 4,3741
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,7291
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3049
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0349
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2100
utr_p1 0,7718
utr_p2 0,7965
utr_advantage -1,4320
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 7343
API ID 14192243
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Umag
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 7343,
    "api_id": 14192243,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Pablo Llamas Ruiz",
    "player2": "Camilo Ugo Carabelli",
    "tournament": "Umag",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-07-24T14:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 14.56,
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      "wr_surface": 67.74193548387096,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 14.77,
      "utr_ranking": 117,
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      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.391021470396886,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.08602150537634,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.909356725146196,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.264150943396224,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.65517241379311,
    "p1_surface_matches": 49,
    "p2_surface_matches": 112,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2653061224489796,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
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    "serve_quality_diff": -2.827213733257871,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.159999999999997,
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    "bp_saved_diff": -1.5400000000000063,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.260000000000005,
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    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.064999999999998,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7659574468085106,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5416666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5405405405405406,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.9532163742690045,
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    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.7290757921425146,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3048602150537634,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
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    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
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    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
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    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
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    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
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    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}