Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima
Washington | Hard | Quarterfinals
26 Jul 2025, 00:40
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alex … Brandon … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex de Minaur
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 39/55 = 70,9%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking #30
UTR Rating 15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #33
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 21/39 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 24,0000
rank_ratio 5,0000
log_rank_ratio 1,6094
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 2545,0000
best_rank_diff 23,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,5886
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,0119
surface_matches_ratio 1,0316
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 70,5666
surface_wr_p2 56,9780
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,6078
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,5960
p1_surface_matches 98,0000
p2_surface_matches 95,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4082
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,2320
first_serve_won_diff -1,8596
second_serve_won_diff 5,0895
bp_saved_diff -4,1846
bp_converted_diff 6,2566
aces_per_match_diff -3,4146
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8981
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9785
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6071
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4902
serve_consistency_p1 10,5062
serve_consistency_p2 3,2530
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 21,8700
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1817
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0938
elite_surface_amplifier 27,1771
UTR
utr_diff 0,4800
utr_p1 0,9282
utr_p2 0,8718
utr_advantage 3,0671
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 7357
API ID 14192200
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Washington
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 7357,
    "api_id": 14192200,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alex de Minaur",
    "player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
    "tournament": "Washington",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-07-25T20:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 15.89,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.9090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 39,
      "wr_surface_total": 55,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 30,
      "utr_singles": 15.41,
      "utr_ranking": 33,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.89,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.41,
      "ranking": 33,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 24,
    "rank_ratio": 5.0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.6094379124341003,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 2545,
    "best_rank_diff": 23,
    "surface_wr_diff": 13.588574216481177,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.011883541295312,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0315789473684212,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 70.56659619450316,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.978021978021985,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.6078431372549,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.59595959595959,
    "p1_surface_matches": 98,
    "p2_surface_matches": 95,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.40816326530612246,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.232038992790152,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.8595578607439052,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.089492042840874,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.1846043026740745,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.256560788049157,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.414553837635232,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8981324278438031,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9785407725321889,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.49019607843137253,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.506176944111413,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.252972545395586,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 21.869966519929307,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1816659619450316,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09378021978021989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 27.177148432962355,
    "utr_diff": 0.4800000000000004,
    "utr_p1": 0.9282352941176472,
    "utr_p2": 0.871764705882353,
    "utr_advantage": 3.067092651757191,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}