Jessica Pegula vs Ashlyn Krueger
Adelaide | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2025, 07:50
09 Ene 2025, 07:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jessica … | Ashlyn … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
34/49 = 69,4%
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking
#62
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#97
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
75% (8p)
WR Hard
18/34 = 52,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 56,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 10,3333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,3354 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 4427,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 26,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,3322 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,9050 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2609 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70,6767 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,3445 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 70,3297 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,4247 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4253 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,5465 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,0742 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,9968 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,8258 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,1753 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,7423 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -7,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9061 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6348 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4348 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3201 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 40,4771 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1508 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0894 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 51,9965 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4729 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,8942 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
738
API ID
13293943
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 738,
"api_id": 13293943,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jessica Pegula",
"player2": "Ashlyn Krueger",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-01-09T03:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 12.75,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.38775510204081,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 49,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 62,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 97,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.75,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.02,
"ranking": 97,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 10.333333333333334,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.3353749158170367,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 4427,
"best_rank_diff": 26,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.332153914197242,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.905012795423758,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2608695652173914,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 70.6766917293233,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.34453781512605,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.32967032967034,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.42465753424658,
"p1_surface_matches": 87,
"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.42528735632183906,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.546485183547105,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.074210526315781,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.9968421052631555,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.8257894736842175,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.17526315789474,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7422689075630258,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 22.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 8,
"match_load_diff": -7,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.906060606060606,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6347826086956522,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.320074060122807,
"surface_rank_synergy": 40.47707748829631,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15076691729323288,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08944537815126052,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 51.99646174259173,
"utr_diff": 0.7300000000000004,
"utr_p1": 0.5588235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.4729411764705882,
"utr_advantage": 5.89422688736375,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}