Jessica Pegula vs Ashlyn Krueger
Adelaide | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2025, 07:50
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … Ashlyn … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 34/49 = 69,4%
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking #62
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #97
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 75% (8p)
WR Hard 18/34 = 52,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 56,0000
rank_ratio 10,3333
log_rank_ratio 2,3354
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 4427,0000
best_rank_diff 26,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,3322
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,9050
surface_matches_ratio 1,2609
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 70,6767
surface_wr_p2 53,3445
surface_wr_p1_stable 70,3297
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,4247
p1_surface_matches 87,0000
p2_surface_matches 69,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4253
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,5465
first_serve_won_diff 3,0742
second_serve_won_diff -1,9968
bp_saved_diff 3,8258
bp_converted_diff 2,1753
aces_per_match_diff -1,7423
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 8,0000
match_load_diff -7,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9061
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6348
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 6,3201
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 40,4771
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1508
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0894
elite_surface_amplifier 51,9965
UTR
utr_diff 0,7300
utr_p1 0,5588
utr_p2 0,4729
utr_advantage 5,8942
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 738
API ID 13293943
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 738,
    "api_id": 13293943,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jessica Pegula",
    "player2": "Ashlyn Krueger",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-01-09T03:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 12.75,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.38775510204081,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 49,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 62,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 97,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 97,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
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    "rank_ratio": 10.333333333333334,
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    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
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    "best_rank_diff": 26,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.332153914197242,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.905012795423758,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2608695652173914,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 70.6766917293233,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.34453781512605,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.32967032967034,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.42465753424658,
    "p1_surface_matches": 87,
    "p2_surface_matches": 69,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.42528735632183906,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.546485183547105,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.074210526315781,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.9968421052631555,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.8257894736842175,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.17526315789474,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.7422689075630258,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 22.000000000000014,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 8,
    "match_load_diff": -7,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.906060606060606,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6347826086956522,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.320074060122807,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 40.47707748829631,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15076691729323288,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08944537815126052,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 51.99646174259173,
    "utr_diff": 0.7300000000000004,
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    "utr_advantage": 5.89422688736375,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
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    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
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}