Madison Keys vs Daria Kasatkina
Adelaide | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2025, 12:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Madison … Daria … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Madison Keys
Ranking #9
UTR Rating 12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #25
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (5p)
WR Hard 24/32 = 75,0%
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking #43
UTR Rating 12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #58
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 34,0000
rank_ratio 4,7778
log_rank_ratio 1,5640
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 2884,0000
best_rank_diff 3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 18,7077
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,3382
surface_matches_ratio 0,6875
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 70,0000
surface_wr_p2 51,2923
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,4118
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 64,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4091
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,3235
first_serve_won_diff 5,6200
second_serve_won_diff 2,0852
bp_saved_diff 4,4332
bp_converted_diff -3,4325
aces_per_match_diff 2,4440
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0500
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 79,5918
momentum_diff 0,4082
weighted_momentum_diff 10,0816
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7643
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6181
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 11,3251
serve_consistency_p2 7,5803
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 29,2584
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1660
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0469
elite_surface_amplifier 37,4154
UTR
utr_diff 0,3200
utr_p1 0,5294
utr_p2 0,4918
utr_advantage 2,5932
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 739
API ID 13293934
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 739,
    "api_id": 13293934,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Madison Keys",
    "player2": "Daria Kasatkina",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-01-09T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 12.5,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 43,
      "utr_singles": 12.18,
      "utr_ranking": 58,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 51.29230769230769,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.41176470588235,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 64,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4090909090909091,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.323538461538462,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.619999999999997,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.08519230769231,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.433173076923069,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.4324519230769255,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.4439903846153848,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.050000000000000044,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 79.59183673469387,
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    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.081632653061206,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7642857142857142,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6181229773462783,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.32512315270936,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.580301977707957,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 29.25837314834661,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16599999999999993,
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    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
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    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
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    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}