Ariana Arseneault vs Naomi Osaka
Montreal | Hard | Round of 128
28 Jul 2025, 23:10
28 Jul 2025, 23:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ariana … | Naomi … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ariana Arseneault
Ranking
#500
UTR Rating
10,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#634
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Naomi Osaka
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
12,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
23/31 = 74,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -483,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0340 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,3814 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -4,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2262,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -427,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,4355 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,6808 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0364 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 69,4355 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,1017 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 55,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -13,1131 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8,1338 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 14,0850 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,5213 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,3813 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,6359 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 33,4500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0576 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5263 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,6866 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 65,7190 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,4830 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2886 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,8300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3259 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5412 | |
| utr_advantage | -15,6611 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7501
API ID
14285396
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Montreal
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7501,
"api_id": 14285396,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ariana Arseneault",
"player2": "Naomi Osaka",
"tournament": "Montreal",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-07-28T19:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 500,
"utr_singles": 10.77,
"utr_ranking": 634,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 17,
"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.77,
"ranking": 634,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.6,
"ranking": 15,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -483,
"rank_ratio": 0.034,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.3813947543659757,
"rank_tier_advantage": -4,
"points_diff": -2262,
"best_rank_diff": -427,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.435483870967744,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.680790960451981,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.03636363636363636,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 69.43548387096774,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.10169491525424,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 55,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -13.11314919354838,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.133750000000006,
"second_serve_won_diff": 14.085,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.521250000000009,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.3812500000000014,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.635887096774193,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 60.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 33.44999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0576131687242798,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.686589445886844,
"surface_rank_synergy": 65.71904320985486,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.483,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2886451612903226,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -1.83,
"utr_p1": 0.3258823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.5411764705882353,
"utr_advantage": -15.661103979460849,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}