Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Matias Soto
Porto, Portugal | Hard | Round of 32
29 Jul 2025, 14:00
29 Jul 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nicolas … | Matias … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Ranking
#360
UTR Rating
14,23 Pro
UTR Ranking
#275
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
12/18 = 66,7%
Matias Soto
Ranking
#389
UTR Rating
13,82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#482
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Hard
2/11 = 18,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0806 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0775 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 13,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 21,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 33,1499 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17,1569 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 28,5167 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 41,1765 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1875 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,5963 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,3250 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,7141 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,0086 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,3345 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1723 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 25,5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 18,7167 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 73,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 77,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2857 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0014 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5434 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,5683 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0877 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1858 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6847 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,9234 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7514
API ID
14284857
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Porto, Portugal
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7514,
"api_id": 14284857,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Nicolas Alvarez Varona",
"player2": "Matias Soto",
"tournament": "Porto, Portugal",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-07-29T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.23,
"utr_ranking": 275,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 389,
"utr_singles": 13.82,
"utr_ranking": 482,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 18.181818181818183,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 275,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 482,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.07747531216829055,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 13,
"best_rank_diff": 21,
"surface_wr_diff": 33.1499202551834,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.156862745098046,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0666666666666667,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 28.516746411483254,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.17647058823529,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1875,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.5963388015493365,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.32500000000000284,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.714090909090899,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.00863636363637,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.334545454545452,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.1723057644110284,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.06666666666666665,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": 25.555555555555554,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 18.71666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 73,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 77,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.001371960618109,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.543429447972737,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.568300420124272,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08766666666666656,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18583253588516746,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.41000000000000014,
"utr_p1": 0.7329411764705883,
"utr_p2": 0.6847058823529412,
"utr_advantage": 2.923351158645277,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}