Tomás Barrios Vera vs Alex Michelsen
Toronto | Hard | Round of 64
29 Jul 2025, 20:30
29 Jul 2025, 20:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tomás … | Alex … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomás Barrios Vera
Ranking
#107
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/34 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -69,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3551 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0352 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -785,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -63,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,8816 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,5934 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2069 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,2453 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,2418 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,0473 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,0776 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,4732 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,1117 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,3016 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,7833 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 44,9110 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8512 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2272 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0320 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,1594 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0326 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0265 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8376 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7528
API ID
14265472
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Toronto
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tom\u00e1s Barrios Vera",
"player2": "Alex Michelsen",
"tournament": "Toronto",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-07-29T16:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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},
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"player_stats": {
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"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.12,
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"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -1.0352426747355203,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -785,
"best_rank_diff": -63,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.881646655231563,
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"p1_surface_matches": 18,
"p2_surface_matches": 87,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.047336192109782,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.0776026637069975,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.4731742508324146,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.111714761376248,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.301587125416198,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.7832912925032787,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"momentum_diff": 60.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 44.911,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8511904761904762,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.55,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.227197330761397,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.031975855049992,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.15941696468219,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.032636363636363575,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02654716981132077,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_p2": 0.8376470588235293,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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