Nicolas Arseneault vs Alexei Popyrin
Toronto | Hard | Round of 64
29 Jul 2025, 22:35
29 Jul 2025, 22:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nicolas … | Alexei … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolas Arseneault
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,50 General
UTR Ranking
#803
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
7/13 = 53,8%
Alexei Popyrin
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
7/21 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Nicolas Arseneault
Record 2025
35W - 25L (58%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
13,2
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
L
Alexei Popyrin
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -450,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,3026 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1000,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -481,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,7038 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,2877 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3800 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,6923 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,9885 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,8261 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,8519 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0526 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -15,6278 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,2763 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,0258 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,0269 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,7930 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,3987 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 92,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 64,9800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1869 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6552 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8393 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -10,8309 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,4269 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5201 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,5900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6471 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8341 | |
| utr_advantage | -11,1228 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7531
API ID
14265476
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Toronto
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7531,
"api_id": 14265476,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Nicolas Arseneault",
"player2": "Alexei Popyrin",
"tournament": "Toronto",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-07-29T18:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.5,
"utr_ranking": 803,
"utr_division": "General",
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"utr_v4_wins": 35,
"utr_v4_losses": 25,
"utr_v4_wr": 58.333333333333336,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.15,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.96,
"opponent_name": "Andre Ilagan"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.9,
"opponent_name": "Mikael Arseneault"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.78,
"opponent_name": "Erik Arutiunian"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Kyle Seelig"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.53,
"opponent_name": "Martin Damm Jr"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:59.120474+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 50,
"utr_singles": 15.09,
"utr_ranking": 82,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 803,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.09,
"ranking": 82,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.1,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.3025850929940455,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"points_diff": -1000,
"best_rank_diff": -481,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.703801945181262,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.2877079978529196,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.38,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.69230769230769,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.98850574712643,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.82608695652174,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.85185185185185,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 50,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.05263157894736842,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": -15.627772325375766,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.276335101679919,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.0258090185676352,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.026927497789558,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.793045977011495,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.3986737400530505,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
"last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"momentum_diff": 92.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 64.98,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1869158878504673,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6551724137931034,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.839296101820772,
"surface_rank_synergy": -10.830904239370767,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.4269230769230769,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5201149425287357,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -1.5899999999999999,
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"utr_advantage": -11.12277019937041,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
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"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}