Reilly Opelka vs Tomas Machac
Toronto | Hard | Round of 64
30 Jul 2025, 03:35
30 Jul 2025, 03:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Reilly … | Tomas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Reilly Opelka
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
15,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Tomas Machac
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
15,33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#43
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -39,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3810 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,9651 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -737,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,8202 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,3529 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6620 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,3202 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,9804 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 71,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0213 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 21,6825 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,4125 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,0377 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,8402 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -13,7864 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 9,7938 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,8000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 26,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0270 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1078 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4412 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5882 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3010 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2554 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10,4424 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0340 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0642 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8624 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9174 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
7539
API ID
14265474
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Toronto
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-07-29T23:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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"player_stats": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 71,
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"p2_confidence": 1.0,
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"serve_quality_diff": 21.682541871921174,
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"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 22.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.799999999999997,
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"days_since_last_match_p2": 26,
"match_load_p1": 3,
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"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": -2,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.027027027027027,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4411764705882353,
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"serve_consistency_p2": 6.255368642046565,
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03400000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06420197044334974,
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"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
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"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
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"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
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